TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9ac…c5d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,429
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 62 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT42329.1%123 W · 300 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 423 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.36
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,615.99
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.99
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,197.98
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.99
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$866.94
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,063.99
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$93.69
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+563.1%+$563.12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+223.7%+$802.94
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$50.18
Showing 25 of 423 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT24539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,383
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+631.3%+$13,187.42
Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$32.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$3,721.46
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.21
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$326
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,090
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.86
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+401.2%+$3,619.99
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,575.96
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,963.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$99.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.46
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$494.65
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$354.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10817.6%19 W · 89 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.87
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$189.38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+113.6%+$1,260.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+128.8%+$592.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.75
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$320.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$185.34
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$477
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$146.05
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$126.24
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.78
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.86
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$673.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.99
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.56
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$648.29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$458
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.4
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$1,107.63
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.99
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,830
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$3,279.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$240
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,663.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$473.54
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,173.8
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$245
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5240.4%21 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$101.22
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.45
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330.44
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+710%+$133.17
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$375
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$400.5
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$118.4
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$268
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$519.99
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.31
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.65
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$270
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+602.2%+$1,800.51
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5014%7 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-69%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.3%+$52.7
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$695.56
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25.8%+$51.66
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+59.7%+$364.09
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,564.14
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+168.2%+$710.47
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+120.3%+$9,384.37
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$478.93
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,565.25
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.84
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35.18
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.13
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.01
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.66
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+200.1%+$1,318.96
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65.5
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$43.67
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$42.4
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$136.49
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$70.86
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$133.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+280.8%+$10,898.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$4,935.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.17
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.29
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$549.02
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$416.9
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+73.9%+$42.5
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,300
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75%+$4,572.18
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$175
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.95
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+689.4%+$219.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.6
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$1,690.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,170
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+71%+$4,736.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$418.91
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156%+$1,147.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,064Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,603.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$412.12
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4231%13 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,157.99
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$3,139.95
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+818.6%+$162.68
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$2,747.95
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.99
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.25
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,312.81
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,057.98
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,624
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.99
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.8
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+442.9%+$221.44
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$132
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.66
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.62
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.35
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+367.9%+$1,502.6
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.76
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,986
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$614
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$973
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$652
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$76.43
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.9%+$125.64
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,924Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+80.2%+$1,543.35
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+83.7%+$2,008.53
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,655.65
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.3%+$59.32
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.2%+$657.6
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$697.97
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+54.6%+$457.93
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.53
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$311
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.66
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$219.95
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.15
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.2%+$307.24
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.57
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.98
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+30.3%+$1,224.78
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$163.99
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,900.16
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$276
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.4%+$583.03
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.3%+$477.79
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$247.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,486
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.33
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$622
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$1,370
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$309.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$981.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$385
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$3,705.32
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.14
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.14
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$142.9
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+129%+$627.41
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+43.1%+$86.12
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.8%+$126.22
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$799.1
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.21
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+137%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.47
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,344.05
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$592.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,485
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,076.5%+$1,830
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$165.25
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$265.71
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$558.23
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+175.5%+$29.38
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$643.06
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.18
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick22cpaid+108.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$3,949.86
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.5
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+358.1%+$1,264.15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+391.5%+$936.14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+362.3%+$493.28
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.57
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+609.6%+$304.8
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$80.77
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$123
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+82.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$421.62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$1,011.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$1,660
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,254.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$246
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$236.84
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+27.3%+$191.16
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.1%+$274.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.29
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.28
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$2,014.05
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.98
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+99.6%+$498.04
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+525%+$543.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.28
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+255.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$583.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,360
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.