Venezuela · resolved market
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fa882beba7627c68eb13f5b917313a422fdfe3d3e75c3073d39f687b84a212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 12c | 8,138$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 7,278$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…2e81backed Yes | 13c | 5,359$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,944$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…651abacked Yes | 6c | 3,893$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 3c | 3,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 3,495$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 2c | 3,386$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 3,352$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 3,326$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,748$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…0c7fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,652$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,375$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…f492backed Yes | 3c | 2,299$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…440abacked Yes | 13c | 2,242$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,173$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243e…d07dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 6c | 1,878$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 7c | 1,868$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 8c | 1,834$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,828$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,701$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,514$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 14c | 1,457$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,387$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 12c | 1,275$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 4c | 1,252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…c5d7backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…62d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,132$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 11c | 1,128$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…6aa2backed Yes | 2c | 1,109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 1c | 1,067$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…d9d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,035$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…2076backed Yes | 6c | 1,027$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645b…edcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,015$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…c871backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…9b8cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…dffebacked Yes | 2c | 996$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b6afbacked Yes | 15c | 989.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 2c | 983.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…46e2backed Yes | 1c | 955$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…dd6cbacked Yes | 1c | 955$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…e970backed Yes | 1c | 953$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…ab22backed Yes | 1c | 953$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…0190backed Yes | 1c | 935$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…c65ebacked Yes | 2c | 933$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…da74backed Yes | 1c | 928$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…f954backed Yes | 1c | 926$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…198cbacked Yes | 1c | 926$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…14d2backed Yes | 1c | 922$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…282dbacked Yes | 1c | 918$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…7e88backed Yes | 1c | 918$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…cb4abacked Yes | 4c | 913.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…d499backed Yes | 1c | 911$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…265ebacked Yes | 2c | 908$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 906.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…1c3cbacked Yes | 1c | 897$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7433backed Yes | 1c | 894.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…01a0backed Yes | 2c | 888.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 5c | 887.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…a54abacked Yes | 1c | 886$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…db87backed Yes | 1c | 880$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…f755backed Yes | 1c | 871$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…e6cebacked Yes | 1c | 855$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…e7e9backed Yes | 1c | 855$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 18c | 831$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…0f4fbacked Yes | 1c | 830$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…74bbbacked Yes | 1c | 830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…790ebacked Yes | 15c | 810.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…cb79backed Yes | 1c | 760$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…47d1backed Yes | 2c | 732$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…5becbacked Yes | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…ad85backed Yes | 1c | 730$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 727.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…e594backed Yes | 2c | 720$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f681backed Yes | 2c | 719$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 12c | 718.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…4c63backed Yes | 2c | 716$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…7ee1backed Yes | 2c | 716$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…c0e5backed Yes | 2c | 710$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…dfa7backed Yes | 2c | 710$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…53c6backed Yes | 2c | 704$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…7136backed Yes | 3c | 700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…7e60backed Yes | 2c | 683$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…5c53backed Yes | 15c | 682.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…dad8backed Yes | 2c | 678$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 673.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486d…0cdcbacked Yes | 15c | 668$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…bd10backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…4b0bbacked Yes | 2c | 637$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…e843backed Yes | 2c | 637$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…d0aabacked Yes | 2c | 605$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 72c | 591.9$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 5c | 584.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…1784backed Yes | 3c | 559$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d1…a63ebacked Yes | 2c | 559$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?this page
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes won
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.