TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6b7…d5f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
717
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT25339.5%100 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 253 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.61
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$123.02
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$307.2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.32
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$389.36
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.18
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+185.6%+$3,555.87
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$166.38
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$121.77
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+206.5%+$46.11
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$166.8
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.79
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$7.87
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$511.12
Showing 25 of 253 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT12544.8%56 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27%+$13.49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.66
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$13.44
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.77
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$65.38
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$134.85
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+34%+$116.8
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.84
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.55
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$886.22
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$117.06
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.19
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$54.64
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$115.29
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$13.52
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.42
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$785.21
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$79.36
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$585.3
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$42.91
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+869.8%+$216.97
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$29.15
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$78.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$261
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$28.8
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,916.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$73.04
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$2,828.94
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$651.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$1,770.78
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$205
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.47
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.2%+$105.36
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+1,188.6%+$339.99
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$141.66
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$153.49
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.82
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+55%+$213
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Ant Middleton not summit Everest by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$138
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$362.38
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$1,031.48
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$159.93
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.85
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$75.39
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$1,525
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.73
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$32.84
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$13.28
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$4.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$9.19
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.96
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.04
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+62%+$35.5
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Linsbacked Lins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.89
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$235.75
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+411.7%+$638.83
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$165.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.99
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.53
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Bolaji Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.12
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.49
Major US official out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$68.22
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.87
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$171.91
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.5%+$11.55
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$525.51
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$222.11
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+41.2%+$133.29
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.39
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+358.4%+$100.36
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89.56
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$187.45
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$1,697.58
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+169.3%+$224.91
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.7%+$5.56
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.83
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$46.33
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$260.57
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.51
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.4%+$31.28
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.1
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.1%+$197.06
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+97.6%+$35.36
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.7%+$24.92
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.7%+$20.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.4
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+188%+$326.37
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25.4%+$118.89
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+152.6%+$57.44
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.78
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63.2
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.35
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.8%+$70.63
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.21
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Commanders vs. Patriotsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.9
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.63
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.84
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$45.08
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$889
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.39
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.37
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.98
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.54
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$155.29
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+222.6%+$82.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+127%+$1,254.47
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.17
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.91
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.6
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.13
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+286.7%+$415.2
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$184.77
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$121
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.62
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$231
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.95
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.15
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.18
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.11
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-78.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$656.05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+257.3%+$983.8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$15.49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$30.67
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$74.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$290.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.75
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.2%+$61.77
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51%+$18.18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$153.03
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.94
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$288.52
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$33.75
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$362.07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,971.45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.64
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.08
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$122.27
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.08
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100.8%+$65.04
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.84
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.24
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+401.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$9.62
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+135.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Britney win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$59.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$47.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.