Token Launches · resolved market
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0524c3183aa4da7d0626f0875c24ca07a444d97bcb6f3364928ef48036489f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,011,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,219,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,011,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 1c | 238,872$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 6c | 54,307$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.13 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed No | 0c | 22,020$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 6c | 16,582$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.66 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…14babacked No | 6c | 16,495$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed No | 4c | 14,842$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 6c | 13,465$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed No | 6c | 11,975$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…4c26backed No | 0c | 11,173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 0c | 10,803$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed No | 10c | 9,950$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 8,376$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 8c | 7,280$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 4c | 7,127$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…8cc1backed No | 7c | 5,510$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 7c | 4,838$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 6c | 4,685$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…31a8backed No | 5c | 4,220$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +306.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed No | 1c | 3,649$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 4c | 3,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 4c | 3,198$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked No | 1c | 3,055$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 9c | 2,810$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 6c | 2,749$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,729$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…3e65backed No | 7c | 2,668$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked No | 2c | 2,656$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 8c | 2,555$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed No | 7c | 2,473$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 5c | 2,320$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 2,210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 6c | 2,169$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 1c | 2,077$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…6585backed No | 3c | 2,054$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 10c | 2,009$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 7c | 1,948$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…006dbacked No | 5c | 1,896$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 5c | 1,826$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed No | 8c | 1,770$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +698%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 1,552$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 5c | 1,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked No | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed No | 6c | 1,431$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…92c1backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…2858backed No | 2c | 1,397$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed No | 7c | 1,367$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed No | 10c | 1,250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed No | 7c | 1,196$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…3fdabacked No | 8c | 1,117$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed No | 7c | 1,109$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…1db6backed No | 7c | 1,096$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 7c | 1,068$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…46b8backed No | 6c | 1,063$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…2c14backed No | 10c | 1,036$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +98%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…22e9backed No | 6c | 997.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…2947backed No | 8c | 970$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bc…60efbacked No | 4c | 930$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed No | 1c | 876.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd455…a1b2backed No | 6c | 769.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ab1cbacked No | 6c | 756.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 5c | 742.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 7c | 713.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 10c | 690.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed No | 7c | 666$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…19dabacked No | 4c | 656.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…8699backed No | 12c | 650.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…5639backed No | 8c | 649.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 4c | 599.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed No | 6c | 586.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…82bebacked No | 9c | 581.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…b2c7backed No | 8c | 575.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cd…1a4dbacked No | 6c | 570.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed No | 4c | 561.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 8c | 558.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…7cbfbacked No | 3c | 535.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…5fc3backed No | 3c | 529.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…52a2backed No | 7c | 526.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed No | 4c | 508.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 505.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…a758backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…90dcbacked No | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…cd44backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…f96dbacked No | 7c | 499.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4ababacked No | 10c | 499.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 6c | 468.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…b5f0backed No | 8c | 457.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 11c | 455.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 430.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 7c | 428.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…448bbacked No | 6c | 405.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 3c | 399.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…0a03backed No | 3c | 394.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2c00backed No | 5c | 392.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.