Token Launches · resolved market
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b01b6d33c15fe6c715b8baa9ca076fc506df50a89d167ea2d061aa47598fa01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 35c | 19,646$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,708.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 71c | 18,481$13,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,046.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 34c | 15,600$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,305.66 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 32c | 11,966$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.16 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 13c | 9,906$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.53 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 51c | 9,755$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.78 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 62c | 8,850$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.7 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 7c | 8,402$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.78 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 80c | 8,360$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.36 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 9c | 7,911$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.06 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 23c | 6,740$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.09 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 57c | 6,578$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.81 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 32c | 4,689$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 22c | 4,455$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,303$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.38 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…c481backed Yes | 48c | 4,038$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 70c | 3,767$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.32 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…2947backed No | 29c | 3,734$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 72c | 3,481$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.41 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 17c | 3,213$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 64c | 3,008$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked Yes | 53c | 2,700$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Yes | 18c | 2,636$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 37c | 2,551$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.83 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 38c | 2,380$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.64 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 60c | 2,347$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.44 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,093$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fb…b06dbacked No | 42c | 1,874$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…6cdfbacked Yes | 44c | 1,817$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 17c | 1,696$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…1b0abacked Yes | 14c | 1,515$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 25c | 1,411$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x779b…0477backed Yes | 39c | 1,374$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…0b69backed No | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 32c | 1,272$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 55c | 1,269$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.63 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 49c | 1,254$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed No | 24c | 1,203$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 1,145$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 32c | 1,136$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 41c | 1,064$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 62c | 1,018$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 70c | 1,013$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…54fbbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 35c | 927.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c90cbacked Yes | 69c | 893.28$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…3da8backed Yes | 18c | 814.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 66c | 644.32$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 62c | 640.74$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 33c | 610.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 51c | 594.34$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 45c | 591.61$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 36c | 572.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed Yes | 75c | 565.97$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.85 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 40c | 561.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 31c | 510.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…ad56backed Yes | 18c | 507.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 62c | 500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec03…c1d4backed Yes | 49c | 494.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe2…e68fbacked No | 75c | 491.12$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 42c | 478.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 71c | 453.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 56c | 438.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 40c | 422.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed No | 70c | 420.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 404.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 17c | 387.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 382.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 24c | 368.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed No | 64c | 358.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…4c7cbacked Yes | 76c | 350$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 19c | 350$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 57c | 341.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 330$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 19c | 318.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 24c | 296.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 68c | 295.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e400backed Yes | 39c | 291.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…fe6ebacked No | 68c | 284.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 68c | 281.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed No | 35c | 278.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 16c | 275.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 64c | 263.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed No | 40c | 255.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 65c | 252.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 54c | 246.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…ea72backed No | 70c | 239.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 60c | 233.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.