TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3032…99e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.83
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.76
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$150.26
Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$11.22
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$162.74
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49%+$98.02
Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$50.82
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.95
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$938.85
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$229.07
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+151%+$137.91
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$467.91
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$290.13
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$248.56
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$178.93
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,793Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$535.46
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$687.34
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.3%+$605.26
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$131.7
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$144.03
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$270.11
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$179.86
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40%+$200.14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$309.3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$266.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$491.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$325.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$362.39
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$34.56
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$20.03
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$81.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+46%+$782.45
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$101.55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$82.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$34.41
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$27.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$240.12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$126.64
Will BNB dip to $500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$267.37
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$197.75
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$210.26
Will BNB dip to $600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$865.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$142.89
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+202.6%+$183.04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$280
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$114.74
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$729.81
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$48.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,451.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$116.13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28%+$82.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.6
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$2,481.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.