Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde40c7e73b5a6c124be7e985e0b7172353a70b4bdfce14385c79324aae0cda87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f5a…2723backed Yes | 1c | 2,003$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 709.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 53c | 571.68$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 29c | 550.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 457$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 30c | 436.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Yes | 7c | 392.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…5f49backed Yes | 73c | 350$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 44c | 312.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 41c | 311.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 308.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 296.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 295.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…29ebbacked Yes | 41c | 242.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 234.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 215.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 70c | 214.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 209.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 71c | 200.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…eeb8backed Yes | 19c | 171.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 66c | 164.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 162.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…4381backed Yes | 32c | 156.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 72c | 145.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 65c | 144.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 24c | 140.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 72c | 137.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…25afbacked Yes | 45c | 134.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…0a7bbacked Yes | 9c | 125.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…bb3dbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 21c | 123.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 38c | 116.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 23c | 109.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 45c | 109.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 33c | 106$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 27c | 98.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 39c | 98.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 64c | 88.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 26c | 75.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 39c | 75.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 28c | 71.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 71.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 26c | 69.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 68.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 68.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…ad23backed Yes | 30c | 67.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 70c | 67.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…d73dbacked No | 77c | 64.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 42c | 59.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 78c | 55.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…6571backed Yes | 32c | 54.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes | 30c | 53.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 39c | 51.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…c671backed Yes | 23c | 49.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 49.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed Yes | 57c | 48.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 28c | 47.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…c153backed Yes | 32c | 46.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…5218backed Yes | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 72c | 44.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f4a2backed Yes | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 32c | 42.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 64c | 41.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed No | 73c | 40.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 73c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 71c | 39.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…ab8abacked No | 79c | 38.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…16f6backed Yes | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 78cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 62c | 36.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 80c | 36.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 74c | 33.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed No | 76c | 32.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 62c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…35e9backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 32.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbbad…8426backed Yes | 78c | 31.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.