TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0957…77e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
321
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$78.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.1
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$10.31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$8.54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$24.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$36.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$8.86
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8.6
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C or higher on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$14.3
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.49
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27%+$142.02
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$136
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+629.7%+$369.49
Will VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.8
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+233.9%+$42.03
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$7.24
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$5.22
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$4.79
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$60.19
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.39
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$45.29
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.41
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$248
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$23.91
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.14
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33%+$57.01
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$25.04
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$7.93
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$570.25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.79
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$294.73
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.78
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$260.31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+84%+$350.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.72
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42%+$218.56
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.17
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$55.65
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,679.24
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.19
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,069Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$1,482.62
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$82.26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$971.13
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$15.29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.71
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$57.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.61
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$59.5
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.83
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$156.01
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$152.07
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$118.17
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.7
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$36.4
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$4,176.23
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$2,185.22
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$33.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+106%+$1,108.55
Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$10.76
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27%+$19.08
Will Bulgaria come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$111.58
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.67
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$36.24
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.08
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$124.45
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$91.24
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$7.98
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$13.8
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.46
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$19.29
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$13.18
Will Micware's market cap be between $450M and $550M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.95
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$72.93
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+218.1%+$342.82
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$10.01
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.4
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.77
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.34
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$24.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.94
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+106%+$26.99
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$41.28
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.64
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Cherlynn Stevenson be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.41
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$321.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$9.15
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14.17
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$12.31
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.79
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41%+$143.24
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.95
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$105.41
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.4
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.