Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd356b25020c71430a1562c8ad3c4407530e249a7c0b4c51c9fa64678be2149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 34c | 307.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 53c | 223.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 65c | 210.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 39c | 161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…93a8backed Yes | 64c | 153.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 72c | 139.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 30c | 129.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 58c | 75.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 40c | 69.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…0098backed Yes | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1579backed Yes | 64c | 52.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…4e2ebacked Yes | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…de3bbacked Yes | 47c | 45.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 45c | 33.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…3699backed Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…8720backed Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…6e8dbacked Yes | 68c | 27.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…1fc6backed Yes | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…7f60backed Yes | 70c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?this page
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.