TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe347…b438

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
908
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT15158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.41
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$24.86
Will Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85%+$18.11
Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$7.96
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$6.93
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$27.69
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$38.92
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.16
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$42.87
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$32.96
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.21
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$85.54
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$50.03
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$27.52
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$10.96
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.31
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will England finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.23
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$142.24
Will France win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$126.72
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4.38
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.98
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$89.34
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.33
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.79
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$196.14
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$104.2
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+76%+$697.49
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$38.26
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$50.29
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.57
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$436.6
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$41.61
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.95
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$68.31
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$10.39
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.24
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.74
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$7.96
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$6.88
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8752.9%46 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+111%+$65.24
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.75
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$6.18
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$89.42
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$25.75
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.18
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$29.97
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$22.77
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$9.91
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$11.92
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+102%+$19.99
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$16.6
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$50.46
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.61
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$19.76
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+153%+$162.08
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.25
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.01
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$91.69
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.02
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+295.7%+$32.88
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$44.28
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+128%+$27.6
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$13.78
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.49
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.16
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+162%+$314.52
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.86
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+303.1%+$978.46
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.79
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$22.36
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6647%31 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$14.38
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$50.24
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.32
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$84.74
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$52.96
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.92
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.61
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$57.62
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$96.93
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$116.1
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$89.29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$6.29
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$40.45
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.07
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.95
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$120.43
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT6642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$6.76
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.26
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$126.25
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$228
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$185.12
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$191.61
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.58
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.75
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156%+$50.58
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$19.26
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+604.3%+$146.72
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 35 and 40 million views on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$47.25
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$41.29
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.61
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$158.7
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$94.83
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$149.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.36
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.01
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$15.15
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.93
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$6.18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+73%+$16.03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$5.57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2.61
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.91
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.24
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$43.04
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song in the US this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+64%+$24.1
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.17
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$13.57
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$11.83
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+306.8%+$32.43
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$25.1
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 175k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.3
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$28.95
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.26
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$71.44
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$279.37
Will Bulgaria come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$13.44
Will Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$9.49
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$23.46
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$24.58
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$120
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$7.45
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$10.06
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69%+$79.96
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.1
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$6.78
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $1.2B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.88
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $400M and $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$16.5
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$12.47
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$10.05
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.92
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.8
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.8
Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.56
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.95
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$4.92
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$210.95
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.27
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$11.6
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.07
Will Shelbourne FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$523.7
Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$549.54
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.12
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.14
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.88
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$9.18
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.38
Will Team Resilience win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+64%+$11.94
Team Falcons vs OG: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.48
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$20.09
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$10.27
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
L1ga Team vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
L1ga Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Team Yandex vs OG: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.87
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+202.2%+$141.73
Team Spirit vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Team Liquid vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.86
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+110%+$60.5
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$34.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 24 above $157?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 24 above $156?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 24 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 17 above $171?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 17 above $170?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 17 above $169?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 17 above $225?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $420?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 10 above $1,110?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 10 above $240?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $455?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Tesla dip to $420 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65.38
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$55.95
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.36
Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.4
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$117.6
Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$101.26
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.84
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$378.2
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$146.4
Will Barcelona SC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+300.4%+$37.07
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.62
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$253.9
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+521.6%+$587.37
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$156.21
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$290.86
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+245.9%+$149.21
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.52
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.43
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42.81
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$267
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+60.1%+$25.98
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$210.6
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$269.78
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.16
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$52.86
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$52.4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$53.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$50.16
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.59
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11.39
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.77
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.16
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$32.37
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$42.45
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$39.84
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+331.1%+$195.08
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$24.2
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.18
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$90.32
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$7.22
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$64.45
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$39.1
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$8.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75.31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$18.02
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+45.8%+$110.02
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.56
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.34
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$114.67
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$327.25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.15
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$45.39
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$29.6
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.11
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.22
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42%+$21.72
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.84
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$39.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.85
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$62.96
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$31.53
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$112.31
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.5
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.03
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$56.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$342.96
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$88
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice vs. Saint-Etienne end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+276.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 3 - 3 Atalanta BC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+276.3%+$254.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.