AI · resolved market
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b8eb1a129b76de2c2b1d51a20d196e9af43759168c9dfdbaf1f1da7a5f4587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 3,106$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.34 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed Yes | 6c | 2,864$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 7c | 2,180$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb0…72fcbacked Yes | 53c | 2,174$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…34a6backed Yes | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…95b3backed Yes | 68c | 812.93$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 63c | 738.71$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.09 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…7839backed Yes | 48c | 735.03$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed No | 32c | 616.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 593.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 562.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…29b3backed Yes | 33c | 541.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…7ecdbacked Yes | 66c | 321.95$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…6407backed Yes | 65c | 305.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…412abacked Yes | 49c | 303.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 6c | 262.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 262.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…08fabacked No | 39c | 251.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 57c | 201.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 53c | 184.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…1103backed Yes | 50c | 165$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 159.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 63c | 153.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5637backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 39c | 117.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…b1e9backed No | 35c | 115.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5c30backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 107.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed No | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…dc52backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 62c | 93.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 38c | 90.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 26c | 75.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 68.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 65c | 54.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Yes | 66c | 37.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…91e5backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 46c | 31.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 59c | 26.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…5386backed Yes | 67c | 22.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 10, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 12, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 20, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.