AI · resolved market
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3984d44578bc08c3321f425ab12bff288dd436da95154d8585031def66765681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 19c | 5,769$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 80c | 4,026$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 24c | 3,507$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 16c | 2,663$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.3 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,436$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 74c | 1,706$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb0…72fcbacked No | 76c | 1,632$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 21c | 1,501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 41c | 1,355$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.41 | 196 | 31.6%62 W · 134 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed No | 2c | 1,170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 1,020$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.51 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 23c | 1,006$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 56c | 977.46$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.53 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 4c | 966.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 936.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 179 | 24%43 W · 136 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 50c | 870.32$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.88 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 218 | 13.3%29 W · 189 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 678.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 139 | 8.6%12 W · 127 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 619.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 1,368 | 6.8%93 W · 1,275 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 2c | 611.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 56 | 10.7%6 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 56c | 607.47$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…95b3backed Yes | 44c | 525.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 4c | 496.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 18c | 481$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.51 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…29b3backed Yes | 25c | 438.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 72c | 415.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…35b8backed Yes | 25c | 386.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 352$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 347.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 333.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 201 | 18.9%38 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…1103backed No | 58c | 319.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 290$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 47c | 255.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…0293backed No | 8c | 251.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 21c | 242.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 19c | 230.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 8c | 204.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…c8d3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 5c | 194.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…6407backed Yes | 52c | 191.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 11c | 173$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 171$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 167.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 898 | 17%153 W · 745 L | -146.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 19c | 165.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes | 19c | 164.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 156.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 481 | 38%183 W · 298 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 30c | 154.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 153.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 42c | 137.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 17c | 133.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 23c | 132.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 41c | 128.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 212 | 0.9%2 W · 210 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 26c | 122$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…f650backed No | 16c | 119.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 110.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 461 | 38.8%179 W · 282 L | -32.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 23c | 99.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Yes | 15c | 95.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +327.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 11c | 95.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 93.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 19c | 93.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…0ca0backed Yes | 25c | 90.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 19c | 86.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ac0fbacked Yes | 76c | 86.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…67b0backed Yes | 60c | 82.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…ef84backed Yes | 25c | 80.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 20c | 65.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 79c | 63.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 79c | 60.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 20c | 59.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes | 22c | 58.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…5000backed Yes | 20c | 50.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…9fc8backed Yes | 24c | 44.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 44c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 35.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 28.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…8333backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 10, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 12, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 20, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.