TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf08c…91e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.05
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.86
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.23
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$145.1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.97
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.58
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.88
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.92
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.9
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.1
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+542.7%+$227.32
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+334.1%+$987.47
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$273.63
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.58
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.83
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.96
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.65
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+337.4%+$775.96
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid+276.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England to score first vs. Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.58
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.04
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+5,803.8%+$1,047.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$92.4
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$262.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$26.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$142.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+112.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$445
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+287.1%+$89
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$10.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+167%+$150.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$205.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$113.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$59.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$53.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$43.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.