Fifa International · resolved market
England to score first vs. Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe320779a57dc412349843fc24c5273ac54af78a1faa7ad380f9b348315611f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 17c | 2,792$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.25 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 2,505$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.31 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,574$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 1,418$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.6 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 73c | 753.42$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 18c | 690.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.39 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 17c | 651.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.73 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 19c | 635.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 72c | 625.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 455$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 40c | 420.34$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 373.63$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 18c | 321.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 18c | 315.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 18c | 300.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 51c | 235.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 226.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 48c | 213.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Yes | 73c | 204.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked No | 17c | 148.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 132.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 49c | 113.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 69c | 101.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 21c | 99.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 53c | 85.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a21…6c0abacked Yes | 71c | 80.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 19c | 74.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 20c | 54.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 76c | 50.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 49.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 77c | 35.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…1fa6backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4906backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 40c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…2ed2backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…732bbacked Yes | 80c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d4…bfc0backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to score first vs. Ghana?this page
- England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?Yes won
- Ghana to score first vs. England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.