Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb13dcd3b2b78a00824c7b4a7ad2d8da15021ea52f5ac5af2bb1f5d3d45fe60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 13c | 2,218$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.77 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,781$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.25 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 73c | 1,656$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,591$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,575$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.61 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.73 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…3edcbacked Yes | 11c | 932.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 4c | 899.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.48 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 61c | 815.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…f2d1backed Yes | 18c | 725.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Yes | 18c | 565.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.8 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 533.35$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.78 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 61c | 519.33$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.74 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…4514backed Yes | 8c | 509.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.11 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.03 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.49 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…4cc9backed Yes | 22c | 461.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 447.09$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…1e06backed Yes | 5c | 363.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 6c | 323.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 41c | 318.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…baa9backed Yes | 3c | 314.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +529.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 72c | 283.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 12c | 162.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 16c | 160.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 72c | 149.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…7151backed Yes | 14c | 139.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 12c | 135$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 128.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 108.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…d463backed Yes | 24c | 106.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c024backed Yes | 15c | 94.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes | 22c | 91.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 34c | 89.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…2d08backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…ae68backed Yes | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…95acbacked Yes | 68c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?this page
- England to score first vs. Ghana?No won
- Ghana to score first vs. England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.