Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf292b8f21ff4b9a943856659c5f94850f07308c4a1d4a6ad0cee046e3d75f66a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 1,195$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,089$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,052$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 14c | 952.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f78…c04fbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…7cafbacked Yes | 13c | 610.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 528.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 17c | 518.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 13c | 368$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 15c | 326.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…84b1backed Yes | 16c | 295.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…1989backed Yes | 15c | 270.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 224$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3f81backed Yes | 14c | 210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…8174backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…632cbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 14c | 147.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…9d82backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…cd50backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…0d48backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…8e12backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 17c | 119.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…14c3backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…161dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 15c | 103.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…51c7backed Yes | 16c | 91.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 17c | 88.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…61ebbacked Yes | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…e18fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…ab0dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…90acbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…3d31backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Ghana?No won
- England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.