TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34cc…769c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66%+$52.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+121%+$24.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.77
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ghana to score first vs. Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Australia to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Ghana to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.13
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+392.1%+$82.33
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$40.17
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$71.21
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,096.8%+$186.45
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$42
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$83.24
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
French Open: Rybakina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$69.03
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will Carlos Sainz win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.