TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes16c6,971$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.461323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes32c6,790$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No67c6,707$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes34c5,041$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.976732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f5…6f7cbacked No69c4,500$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No68c4,241$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.81580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc69…0451backed Yes75c4,009$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes37c3,958$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.196225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes25c3,218$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No68c3,007$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.352123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa589…176bbacked Yes32c3,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes36c2,910$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.052536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No55c2,733$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.496866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No68c2,571$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c2,567$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.738622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8507739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes27c2,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6652924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No74c2,300$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.512240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c2,081$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7603228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b9…e8f6backed Yes28c1,792$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-61.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes40c1,773$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.616835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No16c1,716$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.851741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No70c1,660$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.435255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1974…29edbacked Yes33c1,546$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No62c1,513$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.385759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No68c1,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47515932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No60c1,300$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes37c1,188$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.692425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes27c1,035$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.723713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8400…74bbbacked Yes18c1,005$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2908330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes10c999.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.023917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes21c975.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No66c943.6$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.591752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No75c819.68$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4712616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed No34c783.87$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.741540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes8c771.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes30c752.28$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6821337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c702.7$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b6…f279backed No71c680.07$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes33c668.01$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4680%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes46c654$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.293716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes21c537.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes16c524.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.55922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Yes42c514.13$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No68c432.72$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes25c431.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.15630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes34c426$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No54c419.86$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.817950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No59c411.63$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.765442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No75c383.27$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.225763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No68c351$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No80c349.56$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No68c334.37$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.526966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes17c330.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.91128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.22123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes34c317.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.719223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes32c312.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick29cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f2…8961backed Yes32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Yes35c305.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No50c298.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes40c280.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed No70c278.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes33c270.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes39c261.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.323444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes32c236$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.526827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes10c224.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No63c221.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.143250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed No69c214.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No67c211.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.23571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c6…ae20backed Yes49c185.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes44c181.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No51c180.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6314458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes25c180.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No68c156.73$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.569165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x814f…a540backed Yes21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5860…acbcbacked Yes48c149.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No65c139.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.823571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b90…b124backed Yes29c136$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Yes35c134.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No65c134.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.017955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b2…31b3backed Yes37c129.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…6bfdbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c128$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.887028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes38c127.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3597…b125backed Yes34c110.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.680%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes19c107.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cc…769cbacked Yes25c101.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes20c101.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+118.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.