TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc14…1dd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$166.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$46.8
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.19
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$107.2
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+93.3%+$188.2
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.2
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$11.35
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$21.63
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41.54
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66%+$13.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$12.83
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.32
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$12.93
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Erste Bank Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Filip Misolicbacked Misolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36.4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$16
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$28.24
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$22.69
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$15.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+40%+$51.21
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+115.3%+$252.47
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+146.7%+$99.73
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+282.4%+$149.66
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+126.7%+$35.48
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$98.1
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$122.4
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+233.3%+$42
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.59
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$29.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+61.7%+$37.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37%+$21.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$41.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Brighton vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.82
Brentford vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Brighton vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$590
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.4%+$56.15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62.1
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$17.37
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$27.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$444
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$195.7
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+98.7%+$59.6
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+533.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+244.8%+$28.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$40.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.