TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers45c29,961$13,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,632.012,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets55c23,978$13,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,854.821944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets54c15,037$8,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,982.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets52c10,634$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers48c8,399$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers48c7,066$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.131,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers47c6,962$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Lakers48c6,500$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets54c3,097$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.972,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Lakers46c2,978$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.785750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Lakers50c2,957$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.515549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d8…c306backed Rockets54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets51c2,628$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.712,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets54c2,058$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.452,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers43c2,043$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Rockets53c1,748$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Rockets52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets54c931.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9821152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers47c661.77$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.221,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rockets52c554$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.921,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Lakers47c319.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Lakers47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Lakers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Lakers8c260.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Rockets62c250.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Lakers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b0…0bd2backed Lakers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Rockets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb342…418ebacked Rockets55c181$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets63c174.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Lakers43c162.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.350648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Lakers48c149$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.527353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Rockets54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.154341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets53c131.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.791,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Rockets66c130.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.683342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Lakers47c121.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.969443.6%41 W · 53 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Lakers48c118$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.648052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Lakers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505040%20 W · 30 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Lakers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Rockets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Lakers46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.79360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Rockets53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Lakers46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.48552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Rockets53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Rockets55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Rockets53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.323153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Rockets54c87.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Rockets53c87.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.234850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Lakers47c74.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9436248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Lakers48c71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.086053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Lakers48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Lakers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Rockets52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.523647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Lakers47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.277648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Lakers46c40.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Lakers45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1839449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Lakers47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Rockets52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers45c39.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Rockets55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3612052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Lakers49c33.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.198652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Rockets52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.843447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Rockets52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.363644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Rockets54c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.263171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Rockets54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Rockets52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Rockets52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Rockets54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Lakers47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.229048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Rockets52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Rockets52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5768…a918backed Lakers45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Rockets53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Rockets54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.123863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Rockets54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d5…0a62backed Rockets54c21.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Rockets55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910357.3%59 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Rockets50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394d…6d80backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ca…36f7backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x100a…cb02backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b29…47b2backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Rockets52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38d7…43b2backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ae…7269backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8610…fa01backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…716abacked Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe959…578bbacked Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb1…1129backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Rockets54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Rockets52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.