TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Over51c71,951$36,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,666.9717031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c57,456$28,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,067.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under49c16,224$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,274.3566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c6,440$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.412,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c6,413$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.3136248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over59c6,000$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.87048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over49c5,929$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.3816641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under51c5,833$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.8445348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c4,979$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.413,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under49c4,941$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.7933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c4,338$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.0936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over52c4,238$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.86241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over50c4,134$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06712341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over43c2,899$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.13,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c2,747$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c2,424$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.4333447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c2,399$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c2,310$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.0569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1221,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over50c2,008$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under58c1,900$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79317331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under52c1,800$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86416633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under49c1,751$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over48c1,657$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.6627144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,657$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.2421247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c1,646$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82347542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under51c1,447$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under50c1,287$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.3144654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c1,049$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.072,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,022$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over49c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c998.04$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under49c953$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.037252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.421852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over49c932.8$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0725945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over2c820$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under51c800$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39519351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Over48c793.25$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7613040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c784.09$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over50c657$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c635$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28032151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over8c480.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4739018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over50c478.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.348043.8%35 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c417.44$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.332,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under50c389.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over49c381.63$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18740952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d1…e145backed Over38c362.23$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over51c338.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8831538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd379…c870backed Over51c331.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c310$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.143052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Under53c301.23$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.239445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…b5f6backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c274.05$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.882,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.111652.6%61 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Over54c246.38$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13416944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Under52c246.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.151586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Over50c244$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01bf…070dbacked Over43c202.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c185$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.211,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under50c183$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.432,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Over51c161.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c145.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee47…a253backed Under53c140.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.575433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over46c130.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4150648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under50c129.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over40c129.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.233342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under51c116.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9234050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over49c114.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4762848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.029360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over49c95.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.748347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.962349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under50c79.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Over49c75.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.849050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7319150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…004cbacked Over64c72.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Under52c72.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.941346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under50c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Over49c69.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1420356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c66.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Over47c64.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.