TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7a4…0ea6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT7241.7%30 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$24.25
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$197.5
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.45
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$344.08
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100.3
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$166.5
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$66.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$85.7
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$89.85
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$117.95
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.2%+$74.66
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+67.8%+$172.86
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+57.9%+$87.33
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+99.9%+$394.9
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$149.1
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100.5
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+30.2%+$185.25
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.7%+$108.15
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.4
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.13
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,814Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+51.4%+$932.36
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.35
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.1%+$131.25
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.3%+$237.33
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.08
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+38.1%+$165.44
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$451.2
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50.7
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+32.8%+$233.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.28
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.22
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.18
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.8
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$556.7
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+83.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59%+$29.68
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+799%+$2,842.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.8%+$927.27
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$79.18
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$209.2
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$168
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$597.19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36%+$55.46
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+400.9%+$290.06
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$244
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+150.8%+$772.09
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$87.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Jordan win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+45%+$135.14
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$93
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.07
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$104.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.2%+$460.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+52%+$142.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+50.8%+$160.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$385.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$396
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.