NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73749da5fc9d03c33bf85a780aadacbcd1b444382ddbbf61987e6a9f431b18c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,104,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,187,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,104,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 382,368$171,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,792.98 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Kings | 55c | 222,222$122,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kings | 55c | 91,319$50,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,085.57 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 36c | 90,000$32,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,305.92 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Kings | 57c | 77,583$44,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,360.72 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 61,071$36,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,599.03 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kings | 51c | 54,837$28,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,605.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 54c | 50,385$27,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,374.92 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Kings | 55c | 31,072$17,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,025.3 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Kings | 55c | 29,353$16,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,208.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 28,265$12,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,154.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 47c | 26,207$12,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,779.05 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 26,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…f9f4backed Kings | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 24,157$10,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440.83 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 22,672$15,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,453.32 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Kings | 31c | 22,475$7,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,415.37 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 17,645$7,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,763.65 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Kings | 55c | 17,000$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 16,010$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.07 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 14,980$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…9778backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 51c | 12,344$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…be3ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,997$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.73 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,600$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Kings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 8,419$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…fae1backed Kings | 53c | 6,774$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…3229backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,769$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Kings | 55c | 6,599$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.57 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…71c4backed Kings | 54c | 6,557$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…833abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,552$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 6,449$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.15 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,044$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.04 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kings | 56c | 5,941$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.31 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 55c | 5,898$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.11 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…57d8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,653$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…f75fbacked Kings | 54c | 5,598$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 5,234$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.73 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kings | 54c | 4,941$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.85 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 55c | 4,936$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.4 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 51c | 4,926$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.74 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,900$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,878$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Kings | 56c | 4,357$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 52c | 4,220$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.16 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,973$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.05 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,877$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.96 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,678$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,488$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.93 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,274$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 3,199$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,151$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.93 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,150$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.1 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,751$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.67 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 65c | 2,522$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.26 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Kings | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,995$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.7 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,957$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,862$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.53 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…05a7backed Kings | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…0b98backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 55c | 1,766$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.05 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 54c | 1,718$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.55 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 55c | 1,655$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.13 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,544$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.92 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,540$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.18 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,521$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,498$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.57 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…bd76backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…2047backed Kings | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Kings | 52c | 1,167$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.19 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…315dbacked Kings | 57c | 1,079$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc912…397dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,039$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,037$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.18 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kings | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.62 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Kings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Kings | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…d8adbacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 936.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Kings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.