TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8005…abc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$529.83
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,012.04
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$685
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$204.66
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$751.5
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+276%+$734.02
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$212.16
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+42.2%+$701.11
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Wizards vs. Rocketsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$279.63
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+213.2%+$1,903.74
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$781.17
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$261.55
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$268
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+51.5%+$169.66
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+74.5%+$426.97
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$457.65
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+259.7%+$1,218.26
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$142.86
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$300.01
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$422.56
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+222.6%+$345
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$157.1
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$168.88
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.44
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,330.3
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$153.9
Monmouth Hawks vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$236.75
Cornell Big Red vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$130.51
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80.05
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$255
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$670
Creighton Bluejays vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26.1
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.25
Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
Spread: Akron (-5.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$280
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$547.65
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+50.6%+$1,129.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+53.2%+$761.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+157.7%+$122.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$328.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$153.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.