Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef316127c8acf7cb301abe72ca3b677945a2c681bf3a149ce82358fd5e002e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Creighton Bluejays, Gonzaga Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Creighton Bluejays | 13c | 1,647$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 13c | 1,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Creighton Bluejays | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Creighton Bluejays | 15c | 940.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906d…5967backed Creighton Bluejays | 13c | 523.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 7c | 399.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Creighton Bluejays | 14c | 307.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Creighton Bluejays | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Creighton Bluejays | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde94…c8b2backed Creighton Bluejays | 20c | 246.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…3cd3backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 171$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…1012backed Creighton Bluejays | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Creighton Bluejays | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Creighton Bluejays | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0820backed Creighton Bluejays | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.