TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3597…bb13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+25%+$250
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$149
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$152.41
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$113.9
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.52
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30%+$150.83
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.77
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$209
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$79.82
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$98.46
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,317.49
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$266.28
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Air Force vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+30.2%+$57.89
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,642.41
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+27.5%+$93.62
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+27.8%+$304.19
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$410
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$80.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.