TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Saints, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,300,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,258,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,300,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Saints11c366,119$40,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,244.3219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Saints0c75,439$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.449944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Saints11c53,351$5,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,681.8222950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Saints9c47,789$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.0161148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Saints11c36,205$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.523423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Saints10c31,110$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Saints11c29,931$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.444422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Saints10c29,800$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.047035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Saints5c28,000$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.543125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Saints8c27,161$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.8447738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Saints3c26,441$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.720026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints9c25,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Saints10c22,937$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.7116051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Saints9c20,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Saints5c19,981$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.576338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Saints0c13,091$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.011969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Saints0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017047.1%80 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Saints10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Saints7c9,989$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.361618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Saints11c8,200$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Saints0c7,278$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Saints0c6,074$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Saints4c5,786$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2830043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Saints10c4,579$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8212144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Saints2c4,564$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Saints11c4,546$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0614035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Saints6c4,526$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.842821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saints10c4,311$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cf…7f5dbacked Saints4c4,174$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Saints1c4,129$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.621486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Saints11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Saints9c3,315$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Saints4c3,014$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5910333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Saints11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Saints5c2,982$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.11175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Saints12c2,720$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7216551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e0d…285dbacked Saints11c2,506$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Saints9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Saints2c2,254$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5914818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Saints11c2,250$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.514443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Saints4c2,014$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514215.5%22 W · 120 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Saints2c2,003$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Saints11c1,885$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Saints11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…92ccbacked Saints12c1,750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Saints10c1,657$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Saints11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13227633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Saints1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb240…1fe1backed Saints5c1,100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Saints11c1,091$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7943…27a1backed Saints10c1,040$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Saints3c1,004$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1397.7%3 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Saints31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31019551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Saints10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Rams71c1,000$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28613065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Saints11c999.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Saints2c932.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0241947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Saints11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Saints11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf4…8723backed Saints11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Saints9c908.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7524456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5a…78e9backed Saints7c843.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.08837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Saints12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Saints12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Saints6c676.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…0d33backed Saints3c659.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Saints11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea96…68febacked Saints11c550$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Saints5c550$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Saints10c544.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4614532.4%47 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Saints10c504.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Saints10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…d028backed Saints10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Saints11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Saints10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508035%28 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68d…fb0abacked Saints4c499.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Saints4c490$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Saints10c477$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.76048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Saints10c467.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.86960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Saints11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa7…b707backed Saints11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Saints7c414.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x063c…7767backed Saints8c381.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Saints6c353.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3597…bb13backed Saints6c324.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff2…47e6backed Saints10c313.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ac…2d85backed Saints10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Saints7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed Saints5c269.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c83…0f55backed Saints11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Saints9c222.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Saints11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Saints10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207644.7%34 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Saints10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc067…d9adbacked Saints11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Saints10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Saints10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saints11c194$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d2…1e3cbacked Saints11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb597…ec76backed Saints11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.