NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506c46121bdf9527d16ebdfbdc60bd0e5e26a958599c391857d87ef1e1d4ca71

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ramsof Rams, Saints
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb2f…eca9backed Saints	48c	25,205$12,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,094.3	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rams	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,200	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rams	52c	11,383$5,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,437.95	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Saints	46c	9,145$4,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,207.34	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints	45c	9,000$4,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,050	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Rams	55c	6,364$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,863.64	117	44.4%52 W · 65 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Rams	54c	5,895$3,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,718.6	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Saints	46c	5,630$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.63	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Rams	54c	5,556$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.56	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Saints	49c	5,469$2,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,675	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rams	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saints	46c	4,978$2,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,286.98	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Rams	51c	4,133$2,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,025.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Saints	46c	3,227$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-26%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rams	52c	2,081$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.77	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Rams	51c	2,005$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.13	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Rams	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Rams	52c	1,233$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.88	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rams	53c	1,002$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.11	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Saints	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Saints	44c	865$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.6	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Rams	56c	800$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	214	54.7%117 W · 97 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Rams	52c	710$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.7	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Rams	53c	697.34$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.47	412	48.5%200 W · 212 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde60…15f1backed Saints	47c	640$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73ce…57b9backed Rams	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Rams	54c	543.52$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.02	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd2…96b5backed Rams	53c	496$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.12	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…da69backed Saints	47c	456$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.32	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams	54c	375.6$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.77	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Rams	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Saints	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-12.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Rams	53c	299.99$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Rams	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Rams	53c	273.84$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.7	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Rams	80c	255$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	130	65.4%85 W · 45 L	+17.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddd8…624bbacked Rams	54c	222.11$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Saints	46c	219.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.19	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9b…d771backed Saints	30c	216.96$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Saints	46c	192.59$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.59	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Saints	49c	149.75$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Saints	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Saints	46c	111$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.06	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Rams	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	278	35.3%98 W · 180 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Saints	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	184	27.7%51 W · 133 L	-18.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Saints	46c	97.83$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Rams	55c	92$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-8.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed Rams	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Rams	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Rams	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	297	51.5%153 W · 144 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b7…1a2fbacked Saints	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rams (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event