TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7b3…f97c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST7349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$165.71
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+36.6%+$109.81
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.29
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.4%+$71.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.89
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+83.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$3,472.28
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30%+$4.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.2%+$43.2
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$424
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.8%+$145.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.