NFL · resolved market
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4161fbfdaedb8801f199d99a1d810dd6b62ac46b02d0eba4760a10c2f3d592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Dolphins, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dolphins | 49c | 204,273$100,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,130.75 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Commanders | 51c | 200,678$102,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,762.71 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Commanders | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Commanders | 51c | 79,717$40,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,458.68 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Dolphins | 49c | 75,000$36,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Dolphins | 49c | 67,342$33,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,145.21 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Dolphins | 49c | 23,640$11,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,056.4 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Commanders | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins | 48c | 12,000$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 49c | 11,997$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.18 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dolphins | 48c | 11,871$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.88 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dolphins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Commanders | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Commanders | 50c | 8,586$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Dolphins | 51c | 6,250$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dolphins | 49c | 3,958$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.58 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Commanders | 48c | 3,028$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.23 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Commanders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dolphins | 51c | 2,669$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.65 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Dolphins | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Commanders | 49c | 2,404$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.81 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Dolphins | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…3b8cbacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,990$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…2bbebacked Commanders | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,894$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.64 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,675$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Commanders | 52c | 1,594$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.88 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,201$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dolphins | 49c | 1,032$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.57 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dolphins | 49c | 1,000$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Commanders | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Dolphins | 53c | 996.3$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.16 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Dolphins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Dolphins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Dolphins | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Commanders | 52c | 956.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dolphins | 50c | 880.55$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 50c | 626.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Commanders | 51c | 590.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Commanders | 50c | 500.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dolphins | 50c | 490.34$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.17 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 423.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Dolphins | 50c | 399.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Dolphins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Dolphins | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dolphins | 24c | 310$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Commanders | 49c | 302.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Commanders | 47c | 278$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Commanders | 50c | 251.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dolphins | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Dolphins | 56c | 232$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Commanders | 69c | 219.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Commanders | 47c | 214.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Commanders | 79c | 210$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Commanders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Dolphins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Commanders | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Dolphins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Commanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Dolphins | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Dolphins | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Dolphins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Dolphins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Dolphins | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dolphins | 51c | 154.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Dolphins | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Dolphins | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dolphins | 30c | 129.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Commanders | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dolphins | 45c | 122.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 44c | 115.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…fbacbacked Dolphins | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Commanders | 45c | 100.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Commanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…ec5ebacked Dolphins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Commanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Dolphins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Dolphins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…fc6cbacked Dolphins | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Dolphins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Dolphins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Dolphins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Dolphins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Dolphins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked Dolphins | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…0b71backed Commanders | 50c | 89.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Commanders | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Dolphins | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…7fbcbacked Dolphins | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Commanders | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Commanders | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)this page
- Commanders vs. DolphinsDolphins won
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.