TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf35…b327

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
345
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST16946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rams (-13.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Broncos (-12.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.8%+$18.19
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-8.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+90.1%+$22.53
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10654.7%58 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+41.1%+$20.54
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$53.99
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST5743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$117.52
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$116.45
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$349.64
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Penn State vs. Michigan Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: LSU (-5.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Oregon State (-2.5)backed Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Arizona vs. Coloradobacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Oregon (-31.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$58.93
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$99.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.