NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbe918f885f7c4f36bdf7c2e12617c6b9412739411f2079d451cd3c76bfcc0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Cardinals, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $790,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Cardinals | 26c | 435,260$111,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,942.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bengals | 74c | 100,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals | 16c | 60,205$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,907.68 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Bengals | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bengals | 75c | 53,350$40,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,337.5 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bengals | 74c | 50,100$37,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,023 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bengals | 75c | 44,602$33,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.5 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bengals | 74c | 40,000$29,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bengals | 74c | 27,703$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.71 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bengals | 74c | 14,178$10,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.42 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cardinals | 13c | 13,952$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.72 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cardinals | 25c | 13,397$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.3 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bengals | 75c | 13,327$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Bengals | 75c | 11,400$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bengals | 75c | 10,846$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.43 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals | 79c | 10,548$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.08 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cardinals | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cardinals | 0c | 8,041$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bengals | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bengals | 74c | 6,426$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Cardinals | 0c | 6,259$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Cardinals | 13c | 6,217$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Cardinals | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 25c | 5,050$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…47eebacked Cardinals | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bengals | 75c | 4,872$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bengals | 79c | 4,353$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.69 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bengals | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bengals | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bengals | 74c | 3,733$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.69 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Bengals | 74c | 3,311$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…02d6backed Cardinals | 2c | 3,180$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Cardinals | 0c | 3,086$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Bengals | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cardinals | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked Bengals | 75c | 2,777$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Cardinals | 25c | 2,680$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bengals | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…ba8bbacked Cardinals | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Bengals | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 3c | 1,939$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals | 12c | 1,924$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Bengals | 75c | 1,923$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bengals | 74c | 1,653$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.75 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,622$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bengals | 79c | 1,533$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…3ea3backed Bengals | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bengals | 76c | 1,348$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.78 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Bengals | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b7fcbacked Cardinals | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…ffd8backed Bengals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Bengals | 75c | 1,280$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,100$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Bengals | 79c | 1,092$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bengals | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bengals | 75c | 1,017$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Cardinals | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed Cardinals | 14c | 988.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 22c | 927.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Cardinals | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Cardinals | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 10c | 786.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cardinals | 10c | 785.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…934cbacked Cardinals | 5c | 780$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Bengals | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 24c | 690$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Bengals | 75c | 600$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cardinals | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Cardinals | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cardinals | 26c | 550$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Bengals | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Cardinals | 25c | 499.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cardinals | 25c | 486.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cardinals | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Cardinals | 17c | 450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 24c | 439.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cardinals | 13c | 432.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 27c | 404.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Cardinals | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Bengals | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked Bengals | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3beb…77d1backed Cardinals | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Cardinals | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 10c | 381.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Cardinals | 11c | 355.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…2129backed Bengals | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked Cardinals | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…01f1backed Cardinals | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Cardinals | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Cardinals | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Cardinals | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Bengals | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Cardinals | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 14c | 289$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…65afbacked Cardinals | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Bengalsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bengals (-4.5)Bengals won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Bengals (-5.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-7.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.