NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24180dd5ef078498457fb513029a179be462b04baad8bffca1e5573a5c21761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Bengals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bengals | 47c | 53,148$24,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,168.42 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bengals | 47c | 25,543$12,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,537.53 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cardinals | 54c | 19,850$10,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cardinals | 53c | 17,185$9,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,107.94 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bengals | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 11,805$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.92 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cardinals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Bengals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bengals | 47c | 9,435$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.62 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cardinals | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 8,100$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 46c | 6,997$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.59 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Cardinals | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cardinals | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 5,368$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.13 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 53c | 5,179$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.72 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bengals | 47c | 3,702$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.05 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bengals | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Cardinals | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Bengals | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 52c | 2,783$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.12 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,588$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.38 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bengals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,303$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.76 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.91 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cardinals | 55c | 913.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bengals | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Bengals | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Cardinals | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cardinals | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cardinals | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Bengals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bengals | 47c | 378.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Cardinals | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Bengals | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 53c | 305.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Cardinals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Bengals | 48c | 267.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bengals | 46c | 256.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Cardinals | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Cardinals | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Bengals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Cardinals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Bengals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Cardinals | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Cardinals | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Cardinals | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cardinals | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Cardinals | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Bengals | 48c | 123.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Cardinals | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Bengals | 47c | 116.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Bengals | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cardinals | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Bengals | 49c | 102.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Bengals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Bengals | 48c | 100.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Bengals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 92.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cardinals | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Bengals | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Cardinals | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Cardinals | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bengals (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bengals (-4.5)Bengals won
- Cardinals vs. BengalsBengals won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Bengals (-5.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-6.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.