TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9171…a0c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+120.9%+$60.43
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$399.85
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$363
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$137
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+159.7%+$386.46
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$489
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+840.8%+$1,017.38
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+230.7%+$415.21
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+84.5%+$168.91
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Oneil Cruz win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+190%+$52.42
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+818.2%+$1,022.77
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+250.6%+$1,002.58
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+310.7%+$621.38
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Twins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Twins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$459
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$104.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$391
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$274.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.