TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,686 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes1c23,970$192 inLost-$191.76520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes1c16,500$174 inLost-$173.78224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes4c11,156$446 inLost-$446.251421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes2c10,000$218 inLost-$217.97326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes2c9,118$200 inLost-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes2c8,004$156 inLost-$155.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Yes1c3,333$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes4c2,356$100 inLost-$100190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes2c2,300$45 inLost-$45.34917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes2c1,043$25 inLost-$2570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost-$21.9270%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…83a2backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes2c833.33$15 inLost-$15320%0 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes3c783.03$25 inLost-$251910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No2c625.96$15 inWon+$610.94450%2 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,166.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes5c508.66$25 inLost-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf0…5ac2backed Yes2c500$10 inLost-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c292$12 inLost-$11.972953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.