TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,499,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,543,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,499,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No14c298,029$40,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,496.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes65c95,301$62,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,951.57326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes41c67,560$27,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,989.39917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes12c50,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+403.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No35c34,150$11,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,926.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes64c33,132$21,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,985.611414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…c7c8backed Yes62c32,005$19,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,193.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab8…a6d6backed No38c32,005$12,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,193.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No37c31,746$11,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,850.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes68c30,573$20,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,913.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes42c29,001$12,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,712.332913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No25c25,649$6,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,425.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes64c24,121$15,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,778.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes70c23,023$16,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,901.642718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes17c21,550$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,843.6224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No37c21,396$7,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No54c16,565$8,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No16c15,616$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.555133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes16c15,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,600137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No38c13,996$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,310.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No35c12,827$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.323447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No36c12,338$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes55c11,916$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes59c11,531$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.141833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No10c11,391$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…bde4backed No38c10,005$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No35c9,503$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.851225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Yes12c9,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.981216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes12c8,750$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,700205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes13c8,181$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.832611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed No35c8,106$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes63c8,000$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.431540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes25c7,233$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,458.8277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed No44c6,780$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes63c6,406$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Yes60c5,992$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No27c5,500$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes63c5,225$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No38c4,758$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked No11c4,340$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No38c3,900$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.64540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed No34c3,840$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked No26c3,522$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b62…748abacked Yes14c3,489$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.47520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes63c3,426$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Yes12c3,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed No28c3,037$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked No36c3,000$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.74933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e42…28a2backed Yes58c2,860$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No24c2,674$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes74c2,438$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes23c2,400$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8512711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes14c2,365$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.71450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+240.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed No77c2,247$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2e…bbefbacked Yes23c2,203$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+340.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes10c2,154$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.85229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No78c2,151$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.241741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Yes64c2,125$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes77c2,084$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…8a64backed Yes30c2,020$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acd…30e2backed Yes13c2,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.87714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe468…926ebacked Yes79c2,000$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x621f…9c10backed Yes10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…a045backed Yes13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7401216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes10c1,964$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.29316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a1…81b4backed Yes20c1,902$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked No50c1,864$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.0760%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No37c1,858$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes76c1,821$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb636…32bbbacked No73c1,803$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes54c1,790$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes54c1,730$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.994323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Yes63c1,606$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.38425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes62c1,604$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes63c1,577$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes13c1,521$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Yes70c1,416$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes18c1,412$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c6…bbc3backed No15c1,300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc813…44dabacked No14c1,294$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…971fbacked Yes58c1,253$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes13c1,231$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.77425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc2…b496backed Yes30c1,189$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No50c1,176$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Yes58c1,158$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No77c1,097$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc178…35b3backed Yes55c1,088$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes43c1,030$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.274748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes17c1,010$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No67c1,004$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0212…5e5bbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes64c1,000$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…c24bbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c1,000$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2a…83a2backed Yes12c950$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.