TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$430,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d61…12f6backed Yes3c45,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes10c24,276$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.94917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes2c21,803$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.321833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes9c21,212$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes12c16,500$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes5c15,000$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.78326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes11c13,512$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.42913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Yes5c9,000$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b35…cdb5backed Yes4c8,127$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acd…30e2backed Yes6c8,057$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.91714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf4…7a02backed Yes5c7,505$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6970%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes6c7,296$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.941225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes3c7,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd3…9309backed Yes4c6,462$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Yes1c6,058$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes1c5,894$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes13c5,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…748abacked Yes4c4,878$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…a045backed Yes5c4,500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2181216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Yes4c4,193$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes14c4,000$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd08…58c0backed Yes3c2,888$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes4c2,391$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Yes4c2,296$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes3c1,807$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…cd11backed Yes5c1,800$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes7c1,546$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.72010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-86.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes7c1,513$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes3c1,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes5c1,286$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9970%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes4c1,260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.544323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Yes4c1,226$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes8c1,196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes4c1,175$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d8…8274backed Yes9c1,161$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes7c1,102$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes7c1,034$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a5…b36dbacked Yes14c1,014$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes10c1,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.65933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes4c1,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.970%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes16c885$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c791$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.142953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…007bbacked Yes7c750.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes4c726.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.571741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc49…174ebacked Yes6c702.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes9c688.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes4c674.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…7c3abacked Yes4c666.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes5c610$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf0…5ac2backed Yes3c589.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff4…e78ebacked Yes4c583.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.68812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5917…7c54backed Yes11c570.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes3c544.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.760%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe266…add3backed Yes4c533.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba2…49b8backed Yes5c510.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes9c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Yes3c498.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes4c487.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ae…be7fbacked Yes4c487.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes4c477.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes4c418.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc039…e6a0backed Yes6c414.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa677…7d76backed Yes3c408.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes12c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes5c392.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-76.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d9…fcb6backed Yes6c375$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…b568backed Yes4c371$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes4c365.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed Yes4c365.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+169.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes7c351.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe5…0309backed Yes14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf076…d934backed Yes6c346.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c4…c253backed Yes3c333.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7b…9489backed Yes6c316.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…259cbacked Yes5c311.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f48…4f23backed Yes10c303.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f73…ced3backed Yes7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0d…ec25backed Yes4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes21c281.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5130%0 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes11c271$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.374916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Yes8c257.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Yes25c242.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4683…84c2backed Yes18c227.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes13c226.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.592040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…55eabacked Yes5c221$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2369…db27backed Yes14c209.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes14c206.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Yes9c191.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…81b4backed Yes10c191.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc09d…2604backed Yes8c188.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Yes13c185.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa799…30d7backed Yes20c175.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked Yes19c168.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Yes7c163.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x619c…aad9backed Yes9c155.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe816…ff03backed Yes14c143.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.