TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6853…5846backed Yes3c60,438$1,819 inLost-$1,819.171216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes3c55,843$1,675 inLost-$1,675.29277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes3c22,253$606 inLost-$606.35728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes2c16,500$395 inLost-$394.63224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes3c10,000$321 inLost-$321.33326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf4…7a02backed Yes3c10,000$280 inLost-$28070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes1c10,000$50 inLost-$504914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes1c6,970$77 inLost-$76.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd3…9309backed Yes4c6,476$250 inLost-$25060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes1c2,955$30 inLost-$29.552711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,867$40 inLost-$39.862953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes4c2,317$100 inLost-$100190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Yes3c1,500$42 inLost-$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes3c1,360$39 inLost-$39.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes3c1,277$37 inLost-$36.51917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes2c1,015$25 inLost-$24.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes3c1,001$30 inLost-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes3c1,000$35 inLost-$34.99130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes3c855$21 inLost-$21.381315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes3c702.05$20 inLost-$208118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9646backed Yes3c577.97$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes3c500$14 inLost-$144323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5917…7c54backed Yes3c400$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.