TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66df…9811

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golflast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT8118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$50.17
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Peter Malnati win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$199.74
Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
Will Michael Kim win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+440.7%+$462.78
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$55.54
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$113.38
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.69
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$51.77
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+382.7%+$2,751.85
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$893.11
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.35
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Colombia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+207.6%+$347.9
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$209.91
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$98.66
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.57
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$172
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$27.67
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$83.35
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.05
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.58
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$198.85
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127%+$165.06
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.71
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$32.88
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$99.52
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.36
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+116.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+581.2%+$2,565.3
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.22
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.04
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,382.7%+$368.21
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.3
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$120.65
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.58
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$685.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.34
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$333.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+99.7%+$451.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$81.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.