Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628405a1aaf1875626e1979bfd01291576bb0a3575a27677e684a891ae2ade79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 50c | 15,853$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 44c | 11,514$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,417.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 11,237$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.78 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 8,164$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.67 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 7,651$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…3a5bbacked Yes | 55c | 6,033$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 54c | 4,640$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.6 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 55c | 1,098$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…f0eebacked Yes | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 54c | 911.22$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…fb2dbacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 784$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.68 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 45c | 698.14$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 47c | 662.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.9 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 54c | 534.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 443.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 438.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…fd78backed Yes | 51c | 328.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Yes | 51c | 310.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 53c | 293$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 56c | 267.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 56c | 212.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 48c | 209.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 54c | 204.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 45c | 159.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 62c | 157.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…55adbacked Yes | 53c | 145.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 56c | 108.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 55c | 103.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 49c | 101.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 47c | 100.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 55c | 83.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 47c | 65.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…8f9abacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d560backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 53c | 41.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…3e50backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 47c | 39.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 55c | 36.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…6034backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…f247backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 52c | 34.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…975fbacked No | 48c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…37babacked Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6da8backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…e35ebacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will Canada win on 2025-10-14?No won
- Will Colombia vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.