TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Eagles, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,367,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,480,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,367,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,087 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5681…e113backed Giants22c500,000$110,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389,999.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Eagles79c324,335$256,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256,224.878344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Giants21c280,896$58,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,908.1719553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Eagles43c249,289$106,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,038.9647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Eagles77c227,687$176,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,334.7824456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Eagles75c191,377$144,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,274.2710061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Eagles78c131,927$102,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,902.7512352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Giants22c120,999$26,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,649.567035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Eagles78c114,570$89,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,868.3320755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Giants46c110,004$50,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,203.7230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants21c100,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,00012144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Eagles77c99,884$77,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,059.984250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Giants21c89,795$18,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,849.8610333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Eagles37c69,660$26,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,037.8513654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants41c59,991$24,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,37414351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Giants20c58,270$11,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,616.0631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Eagles78c50,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.9930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Giants21c49,998$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,498.7816836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles79c48,218$38,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,091.9724957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Giants22c45,455$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,454.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+246.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Giants21c45,173$9,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,686.2922950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Eagles79c44,000$34,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,759.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Eagles78c41,668$32,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,700.8525956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Giants41c40,960$16,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,083.2741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Eagles58c39,667$22,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,964.533633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Eagles79c35,897$28,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,358.934447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Giants22c35,497$7,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,689.0910026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Eagles78c34,274$26,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,733.424551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Giants21c31,000$6,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,4902227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Giants21c30,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,699.913036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Giants73c28,179$20,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,566.479445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e05…bdb6backed Eagles79c25,000$19,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Eagles78c25,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,50014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants64c23,919$15,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,547.6461148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Eagles78c22,500$17,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,62524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Eagles78c22,175$17,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,296.528959.6%53 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Eagles78c22,031$17,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.3631350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Giants21c20,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,8008343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Eagles29c19,523$5,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,662.9120634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Giants21c18,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,279.992650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Eagles29c17,900$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.619944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants29c17,642$5,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,590.2544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Eagles10c17,257$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.3413435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants48c17,131$8,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,945.5941851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Giants22c16,920$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,197.610650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Giants50c16,894$8,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,501.853652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Giants22c16,500$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8703961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Eagles33c15,726$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Giants21c15,200$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,954.0610434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Eagles79c15,173$11,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,953.8841248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Giants22c15,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7007042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Eagles28c13,544$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.376245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Eagles79c13,000$10,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2703979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.2wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants22c12,227$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.3922548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Giants21c11,899$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,400.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+113.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Eagles54c11,861$6,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4561225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants22c11,392$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,885.767440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles78c11,289$8,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,779.7783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Eagles28c11,041$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.7626547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Eagles39c10,402$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.447736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Eagles78c10,142$7,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,903.910566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Eagles80c10,002$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Giants22c10,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda1…6253backed Giants22c10,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+127.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8007051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ab…29a5backed Giants22c9,990$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,792.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe655…0bb4backed Giants79c9,553$7,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Eagles79c9,521$7,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.93773%27 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b7…6a84backed Giants22c9,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0202100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+293.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Eagles53c8,864$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.5836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eagles44c8,643$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.6731056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Eagles78c8,500$6,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6402030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x436d…0899backed Eagles59c8,337$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Eagles58c8,013$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants21c8,000$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,293.3320646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles63c7,885$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.039359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c36…9719backed Eagles60c7,804$4,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.722941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Eagles78c7,675$5,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,986.8514757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bd…1d82backed Eagles16c7,010$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.01633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants53c6,996$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.2820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giants62c6,979$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.7727644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Giants43c6,977$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.746965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Eagles26c6,855$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.8212138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa0…09b4backed Eagles80c6,432$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Eagles71c6,341$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50017548%84 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Eagles80c6,250$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005446.3%25 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Eagles69c6,233$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2907557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Giants80c6,230$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.965459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants22c6,197$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.665048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Giants24c6,079$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.148550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca53…2dffbacked Eagles61c5,976$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…dd1dbacked Eagles10c5,667$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc98d…05d3backed Giants44c5,617$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Giants66c5,272$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+131.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eagles10c5,131$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8919235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.7951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Giants77c4,971$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.216459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec9…1018backed Giants21c4,777$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Giants21c4,762$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.95464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Giants47c4,718$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.814247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.