TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Eagles, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,034,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,037,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,034,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Eagles50c1,500,621$742,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742,810.278344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed Giants51c581,694$297,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284,248.741546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Giants51c424,000$214,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,76027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Giants50c211,176$105,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,588.0812352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Eagles48c178,779$85,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,801.9641851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Giants50c125,000$62,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,5005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Giants52c122,895$63,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,560.6431240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Giants50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants50c75,001$37,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,351.1913843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants52c47,571$24,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,958.9544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Giants52c46,375$24,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,259.8519553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Giants50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00025956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Eagles49c32,500$15,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,92520755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Giants51c28,251$14,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,843.229445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Eagles49c26,893$13,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,177.473138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Eagles48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0004637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Giants51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,25014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Giants51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.9816836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Eagles49c21,525$10,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,546.9731350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Eagles49c20,365$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,978.8513654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Giants51c17,000$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,330366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Eagles50c14,086$7,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0432920.7%6 W · 23 L-8.5wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Eagles50c10,081$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Giants50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Giants50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Giants50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Eagles50c7,800$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…fe12backed Eagles50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Giants51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Giants50c5,998$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.078550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles49c4,223$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.431,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Eagles50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Giants51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.579152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants51c3,627$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.2337350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Giants53c3,332$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56610434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Giants50c3,220$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.1124456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Giants51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Giants52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Giants51c2,858$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.4222450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Eagles50c2,384$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Giants51c2,296$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.5741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants51c2,008$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.1183447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Giants50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Giants52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97014148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Eagles50c1,990$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Giants51c1,959$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9122349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eagles48c1,664$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.7554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Eagles46c1,625$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Eagles48c1,520$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73513145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Giants52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.151855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Giants51c1,320$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.814945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Giants51c1,226$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9118044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6852…d24abacked Giants52c1,168$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Giants51c1,131$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.047346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Eagles50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eagles48c1,078$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.7661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d52…47c5backed Eagles20c1,039$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Eagles50c1,015$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.387456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…bb41backed Eagles49c1,013$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Eagles48c1,010$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.823647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Eagles51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47f…c0b2backed Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Eagles49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Giants51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.987436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Giants50c994.93$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.4641248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e31…e891backed Giants52c961.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Eagles49c817$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.333565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Eagles53c754.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.113250%16 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Giants51c705.84$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Eagles49c684.31$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.312128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Eagles51c666$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6610345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Giants52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2888048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Eagles48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28826648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Giants52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28810752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x402c…6af9backed Eagles50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…b7b9backed Eagles49c590.65$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.42100%0 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f8…5897backed Giants52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.927448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Eagles48c511$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.283429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants49c508.9$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5483147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Giants52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c95…4d15backed Giants50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Eagles47c452.96$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd68…8b82backed Eagles49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Eagles49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Eagles50c405.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.631838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Giants51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19612343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Eagles49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7597…e5f6backed Eagles49c390$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e00…1b9fbacked Eagles49c388$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257d…7137backed Eagles49c375$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Giants51c352.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9428047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Giants51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.511759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Giants51c336.18$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.338143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.