NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Giants: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c519f4f63dedd9646e761d1490b4e886e3b85e4acac81177add2136893151c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.99 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 54c | 32,620$17,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,614.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 54c | 9,320$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 54c | 7,341$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.22 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 6,831$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.51 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 6,556$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.16 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5576backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 53c | 2,809$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.57 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…c5febacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 1,851$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.27 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 54c | 1,433$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.93 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.82 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.17 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 46c | 1,041$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.31 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…60e9backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 485.3$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 45c | 454.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 47c | 448.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 250.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…61b5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…1579backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…47c5backed Over | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Over | 47c | 73.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…d9adbacked Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Over | 49c | 49.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…4dbebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…291bbacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Over | 51c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Giants: O/U 41.5this page
- Eagles vs. GiantsGiants won
- Eagles vs. Giants: O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.