TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a25…c24d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88.49
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$77.71
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33.58
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$89.03
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.9%+$21.95
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+162.6%+$780.31
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Spread: Vikings (-9.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$341.21
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$168.99
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.27
Spread: LAR (-9.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$97.8
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+370%+$206.36
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$182.08
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$136.05
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132.68
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$113.65
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$144.19
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$80.73
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$86.78
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$145.9
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Spread: Texas (-3.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.78
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$79.14
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+137.5%+$123.72
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+84.1%+$335.29
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$256.92
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$448.02
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.81
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$167.93
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.76
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.25
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+164.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$43.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.