College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638f0bcf3a1aa76c05d2758574cbd65d395b2379704ac170130fb545a10346f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,354,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,372,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,354,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oregon | 52c | 1,480,251$774,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774,389.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Indiana | 47c | 1,024,848$485,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539,319.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Oregon | 53c | 474,223$251,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,312.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Indiana | 48c | 467,940$222,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,295.68 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Oregon | 54c | 165,114$88,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,899.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Indiana | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Indiana | 46c | 130,000$59,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,200 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Indiana | 47c | 69,037$32,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,293.17 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oregon | 54c | 66,666$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana | 48c | 65,732$31,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,497.85 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Oregon | 54c | 62,454$33,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,725 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oregon | 55c | 56,000$30,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,800 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Indiana | 47c | 44,285$20,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,452.71 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Indiana | 46c | 37,000$17,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,980 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Indiana | 47c | 34,450$16,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,428.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Indiana | 46c | 26,313$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,209.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Oregon | 53c | 21,872$11,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,686 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana | 48c | 20,851$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,842.51 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Indiana | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Indiana | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Indiana | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Oregon | 51c | 19,201$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Indiana | 46c | 18,720$8,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,108.8 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Indiana | 50c | 18,418$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,209 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Indiana | 46c | 18,275$8,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,835.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana | 48c | 16,051$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.07 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Oregon | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Indiana | 46c | 12,198$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,586.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana | 45c | 10,150$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.5 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Indiana | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Oregon | 51c | 9,626$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Indiana | 47c | 9,574$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Indiana | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana | 57c | 7,697$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.65 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oregon | 52c | 7,552$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana | 46c | 6,777$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.42 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Oregon | 53c | 6,200$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Oregon | 50c | 6,020$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Indiana | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Indiana | 46c | 5,436$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Oregon | 55c | 5,255$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Indiana | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Indiana | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Oregon | 52c | 4,827$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Indiana | 48c | 4,702$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oregon | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Indiana | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Indiana | 48c | 4,020$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Indiana | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Indiana | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Indiana | 48c | 3,724$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Indiana | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Oregon | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Indiana | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Indiana | 46c | 3,052$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Indiana | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Indiana | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oregon | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Indiana | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Indiana | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Indiana | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Oregon | 52c | 2,085$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Indiana | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Oregon | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Indiana | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Indiana | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Indiana | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Oregon | 52c | 1,905$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Indiana | 58c | 1,807$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.91 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana | 60c | 1,761$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.55 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Indiana | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Indiana | 49c | 1,500$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Indiana | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Indiana | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Oregon | 52c | 1,369$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.81 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Indiana | 72c | 1,243$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Indiana | 72c | 1,203$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Oregon | 54c | 1,189$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Indiana | 48c | 1,138$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Indiana | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Indiana | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Indiana | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Indiana | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Oregon | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Indiana | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Indiana | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Indiana | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Indiana | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed Oregon | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Indiana | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oregon | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Oregon | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Indiana | 46c | 918$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Oregon | 41c | 900$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Indiana | 48c | 871.89$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana | 47c | 830$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Indiana | 49c | 814.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.87 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Indiana | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…eb89backed Indiana | 46c | 794$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Oregon | 55c | 764.84$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)this page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Oregon vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.