College Football · resolved market
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ffcffe188635b58b2ff04261a46aea280cf12559952af2b01f062e77812790d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 46c | 133,669$62,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,124.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 53c | 53,839$28,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,304.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 23,821$12,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,063.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 19,860$10,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,135.6 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.58 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 5,400$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 4,848$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.08 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 4,002$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 1,039$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.55 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 55c | 500$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Under | 45c | 465.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 55c | 370.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Over | 58c | 347.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 54c | 184.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Under | 40c | 138.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 45c | 112.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 57c | 107.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 57c | 87.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 44c | 79.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…0b90backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 63.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Over | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 55c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5this page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Oregon vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.