College Football · resolved market
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cac2d529086b23b09ef7fba4177e4dd6f83038a9403dcc83de743a6d2f3015e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 87,198$41,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,844.87 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Under | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Under | 53c | 212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5this page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Oregon vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.