TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$506,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under51c285,523$144,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,863.632763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c150,303$73,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,654.7816234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over50c61,106$30,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,553.131283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+79.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c50,575$24,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,703.1252641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Under49c50,510$24,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,855.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.974738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Under50c45,485$22,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,742.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0009750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c26,258$13,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,917.2652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over51c20,800$10,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,19221055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c18,098$8,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,168.582,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over49c16,778$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,613.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c12,624$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280.8962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c11,908$5,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,834.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over50c10,432$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.834429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Over50c10,019$5,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Under51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.983158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under15c6,609$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over50c5,555$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.54841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over79c5,099$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.844841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c4,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7151050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over55c2,415$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.718100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over50c2,012$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.013354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3458100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over60c1,195$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6320553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c1,038$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.4615352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.820450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…f1eebacked Under4c839.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under51c761$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.114143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c729$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c463.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4565945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d37…a714backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…11d4backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over51c388$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0316…e283backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under7c232.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a8…3c7cbacked Over52c204.18$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Under51c203.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2472…f7e0backed Under28c199.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under50c198.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.031866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over23c135.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.068629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over80c121$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5126940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over73c120.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2526939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Under44c95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under12c87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.447443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…f5efbacked Over64c75.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f81…0070backed Over72c73.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Over58c68.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over51c61.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under29c58.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over68c54.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6316044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed Over75c53.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over54c44.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Under50c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaed…8479backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6de…7ed9backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Under52c38.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70b…5acdbacked Over50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c30.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over65c29.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5990…c2edbacked Over79c25.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5b…ace4backed Over51c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Over70c23.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8445backed Over51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Under51c20.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6860%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Over51c20.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.195255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Over51c20.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.184755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Over49c20.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.