TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf569…36a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,026.16
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,977.61
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigersbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,821.38
LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,764
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$6,049.99
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$2,278.98
St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.9%+$1,050.1
Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.6%+$1,594.99
Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,492.28
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,400
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$3,500
Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+70.2%+$95.1
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$3,000
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59.62
Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,639.99
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,620
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$999.05
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,960
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,569.99
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,624
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$624
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$999.84
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$560.66
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,312.1
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$817.6
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.7%+$580.19
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$442.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,634.88
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,525
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$8,549.98
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.9%+$2,183.97
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.9%+$2,351.45
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+123.6%+$4,861.45
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$786.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,947.18
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$487.5
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,879.99
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,800
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,024
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,545.45
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.9%+$2,277.26
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$765.6
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,008
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$3,059.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,599.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.