Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e98f66d94d4258d2fc8d0db4aa7e838e90919f12cbf2de1ef05727b6585c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof LIU Sharks, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf569…36a6backed LIU Sharks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 44c | 2,986$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.32 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LIU Sharks | 56c | 2,706$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 57c | 1,782$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 1,303$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 54c | 1,275$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 937.82$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…8a4dbacked LIU Sharks | 36c | 549.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LIU Sharks | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 424.75$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed LIU Sharks | 28c | 424$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed LIU Sharks | 55c | 367.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 348.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 297.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 58c | 283.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked LIU Sharks | 35c | 282.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 259.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LIU Sharks | 50c | 230.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 44c | 168$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 143.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed LIU Sharks | 36c | 139.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked LIU Sharks | 35c | 113.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 105.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks | 20c | 105.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed LIU Sharks | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked LIU Sharks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 76c | 86.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed LIU Sharks | 55c | 86.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed LIU Sharks | 31c | 76.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 75.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked LIU Sharks | 35c | 72.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked LIU Sharks | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 71c | 53.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 52.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LIU Sharks | 29c | 46.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LIU Sharks | 39c | 42.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 46c | 34.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed LIU Sharks | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…b586backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 28.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…5491backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 68c | 25.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 146.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 147.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-1.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.